{"id":4154,"date":"2024-03-13T23:02:39","date_gmt":"2024-03-14T03:02:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kingdomresourcesforchrist.com\/?post_type=article&p=4154"},"modified":"2025-08-07T17:56:48","modified_gmt":"2025-08-07T21:56:48","slug":"global-financial-tsunami","status":"publish","type":"article","link":"https:\/\/e-krc.org\/ch\/article\/global-financial-tsunami\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u6d77\u5578\u51b2\u51fb\u3001\u672a\u6765\u6548\u5e94\u53ca\u5b89\u5ea6\u4e4b\u9053"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\"\/<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

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\u76ee\u4e0d\u6687\u7d66\u7684\u98a8\u66b4\u4fb5\u8972<\/h3>\n\n\n\n


2007\u5e744\u67082\u65e5\u7f8e\u570b\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5927\u6b21\u7d1a\u623f\u8cb8\u516c\u53f8\uff0c\u65b0\u4e16\u7d00\uff08New Century\uff09\u7533\u8acb\u7834\u7522\u4fdd\u8b77\uff0c\u57cb\u4e0b\u6b21\u7d1a\u623f\u8cb8\u98a8\u66b4\u7684\u5f15\u7dda\u30028\u67086\u65e5\u7f8e\u570b\u7b2c\u5341\u5927\u623f\u5730\u7522\u516c\u53f8\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u623f\u5c4b\u62b5\u62bc\u8cb8\u6b3e\uff08American Home Mortgage\uff09\u7533\u8acb\u7834\u7522\u4fdd\u8b77\u3002\u4e00\u9023\u4e32\u98a8\u66b4\u5e2d\u6372\u7f8e\u6b50\u80a1\u5e02\uff0c\u8868\u793a\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u5c0d\u7f8e\u6b50\u91d1\u878d\u60c5\u6cc1\u5931\u53bb\u4fe1\u5fc3\u30028\u6708\u4efd\u7f8e\u570b\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u7d2f\u8a08\u5411\u91d1\u878d\u7cfb\u7d71\u6339\u6ce81472.5\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u4ee5\u9632\u6b21\u8cb8\u5371\u6a5f\u60e1\u5316\uff0c\u4f7f\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u7a0d\u7a0d\u6062\u5fa9\u4fe1\u5fc3\u3002\u4f46\u80a1\u5e02\u523010\u6708\u4e2d\u885d\u5230\u6b77\u53f2\u65b0\u9ad8\u5f8c\u5c31\u7bc0\u7bc0\u6557\u9000\uff0c\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u958b\u59cb\u6050\u614c\u30022008\u5e743\u6708\u7f8e\u570b\u4e94\u5927\u6295\u8cc7\u516c\u53f8\u4e4b\u4e00\u7684\u8c9d\u723e\u65af\u767b\uff08Bear Sterns\uff09\u5728\u7015\u81e8\u7834\u7522\u524d\u88ab\u6469\u6839\u9280\u884c\uff08JP Morgan Chase\uff09\u4ee5\u6975\u4f4e\u50f9\u683c\u6536\u8cfc\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n


2008\u5e747\u6708\u958b\u59cb\uff0c\u4e00\u9023\u4e32\u4ee4\u4eba\u76ee\u4e0d\u6687\u7d66\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\u5feb\u901f\u767c\u751f\uff0c\u9019\u88e1\u53ea\u8209\u51fa\u5e7e\u4ef6\u5927\u4e8b\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n


7\u670813\u65e5\u7f8e\u570b\u524d\u5169\u5927\u623f\u8cb8\u6a5f\u69cb\uff1a\u623f\u5229\u7f8e\uff08Fannie Mae\uff09\u548c\u623f\u5730\u7f8e\uff08Freddie Mac\uff09\uff08\u7c21\u7a31\u4e8c\u623f\uff09\u7206\u767c\u8ca1\u52d9\u5371\u6a5f\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u8ca1\u653f\u90e8\u548c\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u5ba3\u4f48\u6551\u52a9\u4e8c\u623f\uff0c\u63d0\u9ad8\u5176\u4fe1\u7528\u984d\u5ea6\uff0c\u4e26\u627f\u8afe\u5fc5\u8981\u6642\u8cfc\u5165\u5169\u516c\u53f8\u80a1\u4efd\u30029\u67087\u65e5\u7f8e\u570b\u8ca1\u653f\u90e8\u5ba3\u4f48\u63a5\u7ba1\u4e8c\u623f\uff08\u5f9e\u6c11\u71df\u8b8a\u70ba\u570b\u71df\u4e8b\u696d\uff09\uff0c\u5404\u6339\u6ce81000\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u8cc7\u91d1\u7d13\u56f0\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n


9\u670815\u65e5\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u4e94\u5927\u6295\u8cc7\u9280\u884c\u4e4b\u4e00\u7684\u96f7\u66fc\u5144\u5f1f\uff08Lehman Brothers\uff09\u5728\u653f\u5e9c\u62d2\u7d55\u7d13\u56f0\u5f8c\uff0c\u7533\u8acb\u7834\u7522\u4fdd\u8b77\u3002\u540c\u65e5\uff0c\u9677\u5165\u7d93\u71df\u56f0\u5883\u7684\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u7f8e\u6797\uff08Merrill Lynch\uff09\u6295\u8cc7\u516c\u53f8\uff0c\u540c\u610f\u4ee5500\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u50f9\u683c\u7531\u7f8e\u570b\u5546\u696d\u9280\u884c\uff08Bank of America\uff09\u4f75\u8cfc\u3002\u6b21\u65e5\uff0c\u906d\u50b5\u4fe1\u8a55\u7b49\u964d\u7d1a\u7684\u5168\u7f8e\u6700\u5927\u4fdd\u96aa\u516c\u53f8\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u969b\u96c6\u5718\uff08AIG\uff09\u80a1\u50f9\u5927\u8dcc\uff0c\u5c0e\u81f4\u8667\u640d\u52a0\u5287\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u8ca1\u653f\u90e8\u53ca\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u6c7a\u5b9a\u51fa\u624b850\u5104\u5143\u63f4\u52a9\uff0c\u4ee5\u514d\u6b50\u7f8e\u91d1\u878d\u5168\u9762\u5d29\u76e4\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n


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\u91d1\u878d\u6d77\u562f\u7684\u9060\u56e0<\/h3>\n\n\n\n


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1.  \u7f8e\u570b\u4eba\u904e\u5ea6\u6d88\u8cbb\u548c\u8ca0\u50b5\uff1a<\/strong>\u7f8e\u570b\u4eba\u7fd2\u6163\u501f\u50b5\u5ea6\u65e5\uff0c\u4e0d\u4f46\u653f\u5e9c\u5bc5\u5403\u536f\u7ce7\uff0c\u6c11\u9593\u4e5f\u50b5\u81fa\u9ad8\u7bc9\u3002\u806f\u90a6\u653f\u5e9c\u9810\u7b97\u8d64\u5b57\u9f90\u5927\uff082008\u5e74\u5ea6\u90544548\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u9ad8\u904e2003\u5e74\u7834\u7d00\u9304\u76844127\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\uff09\uff1b2008\u5e74\u5e95\u653f\u5e9c\u516c\u50b5\u9918\u984d\u5df2\u905410.7\u5146\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u7d04\u4f54\u570b\u5167\u7e3d\u7522\u51fa\uff08GDP\uff0914.5\u5146\u7684\u56db\u5206\u4e4b\u4e09\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d4.3\u5146\u70ba\u5916\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u6240\u64c1\u6709\u3002\u5176\u6b21\u662f\u5c0d\u5916\u8cbf\u6613\u8d64\u5b57\u9f90\u5927\uff082008\u5e74\u7d048000\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\uff09\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u62b5\u62bc\u8cb8\u6b3e\u3001\u6d88\u8cbb\u8cb8\u6b3e\u3001\u9280\u884c\u8cb8\u6b3e\u7b49\u5bb6\u5ead\u300c\u4fe1\u7528\u300d\u50b5\u52d9\u9918\u984d\u5df2\u905414\u5146\u7f8e\u5143\uff08\u5176\u4e2d\u4ee5\u623f\u8cb8\u6700\u591a\uff0c\u7d04\u4f54\u56db\u5206\u4e4b\u4e09\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n


2.  \u653f\u5e9c\u653e\u4efb\u7f3a\u4e4f\u76e3\u7ba1\u653f\u7b56\uff1a<\/strong>1980\u5e74\u4ee3\u7f8e\u570b\u96f7\u6839\u7e3d\u7d71\u3001\u82f1\u570b\u67f4\u5951\u723e\u9996\u76f8\u63a8\u52d5\u7d93\u6fdf\u81ea\u7531\u5316\u7684\u300c\u65b0\u81ea\u7531\u4e3b\u7fa9\u300d\uff0c\u5f71\u97ff\u5168\u7403\u6c11\u4e3b\u570b\u5bb6\u8ddf\u9032\uff0c\u851a\u70ba\u98a8\u6f6e\uff1b\u4e3b\u5f35\u653f\u5e9c\u6e1b\u5c11\u5e72\u9810\uff0c\u4e00\u5207\u56de\u6b78\u5e02\u5834\u6a5f\u5236\uff0c\u8b93\u5e02\u5834\u6c7a\u5b9a\u4f9b\u9700\u5747\u8861\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\u4e09\u5927\u8ca1\u7d93\u653f\u7b56\u70ba\u6c11\u71df\u5316\u3001\u8cbf\u6613\u81ea\u7531\u5316\u53ca\u6e1b\u5c11\u7ba1\u5236\uff08\u822a\u7a7a\u3001\u80fd\u6e90\u53ca\u904b\u8f38\u7b49\u5e02\u5834\u7ba1\u5236\uff09\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u76ee\u7684\u70ba\u4fc3\u9032\u7d93\u71df\u6548\u7387\uff0c\u6b64\u5916\u9084\u5927\u529b\u63a8\u52d5\u6e1b\u7a05\u53ca\u7e2e\u6e1b\u793e\u6703\u798f\u5229\uff0c\u4ee5\u63d0\u9ad8\u7d93\u6fdf\u6210\u9577\u7387\u3002\u9019\u7a2e\u7a2e\u63aa\u65bd\u96d6\u88ab\u62a8\u64ca\u70ba\u5716\u5229\u4f01\u696d\u548c\u5bcc\u4eba\uff0c\u4f46\u975e\u6240\u6709\u9b06\u7d81\u90fd\u6709\u554f\u984c\uff1b\u822a\u7a7a\u696d\u53ca\u96fb\u4fe1\u696d\u7684\u9b06\u7d81\u4f7f\u7af6\u722d\u589e\u52a0\u3001\u7522\u54c1\u50f9\u683c\u964d\u4f4e\uff0c\u7684\u78ba\u9020\u798f\u4e86\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n


3.  \u91d1\u878d\u6539\u9769\u6cd5\u6848\u5f8c\u60a3\u7121\u7aae\uff1a<\/strong>1999\u5e7411\u6708\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u6703\u901a\u904e\u300c\u91d1\u878d\u670d\u52d9\u696d\u73fe\u4ee3\u5316\u6cd5\u6848\u300d\uff08Financial Modernization Act\uff09\uff0c\u63a8\u7ffb1933\u5e74\u570b\u6703\u901a\u904e\u7684\u683c\u62c9\u65af\u2500\u53f2\u8fea\u683c\uff08Glass-Steagall\uff09\u6cd5\u6848\uff0c\u8b93\u4e00\u822c\u9280\u884c\u4ea6\u53ef\u6210\u7acb\u6295\u8cc7\u9280\u884c\uff0c\u5f9e\u4e8b\u5176\u4ed6\u91d1\u878d\u696d\u52d9\u3002\u6b64\u9805\u6cd5\u6848\u901a\u904e\u5f8c\uff0c\u6240\u6709\u91d1\u878d\u670d\u52d9\u696d\u843d\u5165\u4fdd\u96aa\u516c\u53f8\u3001\u9000\u4f11\u57fa\u91d1\u53ca\u8b49\u5238\u516c\u53f8\u7b49\u5e7e\u5bb6\u5927\u91d1\u63a7\u624b\u88e1\u3002\u83ef\u5e9c\u653f\u5ba2\u7684\u63a8\u6ce2\u52a9\u703e\uff0c\u589e\u52a0\u9019\u4e9b\u5927\u91d1\u63a7\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u52e2\u529b\u3002\u5546\u696d\u9280\u884c\u3001\u80a1\u7968\u7d93\u7d00\u5546\u3001\u5c0d\u6c96\u57fa\u91d1\u3001\u6a5f\u69cb\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u3001\u9000\u4f11\u57fa\u91d1\u53ca\u4fdd\u96aa\u516c\u53f8\u90fd\u53ef\u4ee5\u5f7c\u6b64\u6295\u8cc7\u6301\u80a1\uff0c\u5c07\u6240\u6709\u91d1\u878d\u696d\u6574\u5408\u8d77\u4f86\uff0c\u7f8e\u5176\u540d\u70ba\u589e\u9032\u6548\u7387\uff0c\u5be6\u5247\u7531\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u91d1\u63a7\u5de8\u982d\u5e55\u5f8c\u64cd\u76e4\uff0c\u6210\u70ba\u300c\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u8d85\u5e02\u300d\uff0c\u7e31\u6a6b\u5929\u4e0b\u3002\u4ee5\u524d\u9280\u884c\u4e0d\u80fd\u8de8\u5dde\u8a2d\u7acb\uff0c\u73fe\u5728\u4e5f\u7372\u51c6\uff0c\u5c0d\u624b\u9280\u884c\u7d1b\u7d1b\u906d\u4f75\u8cfc\u6216\u5012\u9589\u3002\u91d1\u878d\u6539\u9769\u4fc3\u4f7f\u884d\u751f\u6027\u5546\u54c1\u6c3e\u6feb\uff0c\u53c8\u7f3a\u4e4f\u98a8\u96aa\u9810\u8b66\u6a5f\u5236\uff1b\u9ad8\u5ea6\u932f\u7d9c\u8907\u96dc\u7684\u884d\u751f\u6027\u8ca1\u52d9\u5de5\u7a0b\u5546\u54c1\uff0c\u76ee\u7684\u539f\u70ba\u907f\u96aa\uff0c\u81f3\u7d42\u537b\u7206\u7834\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n


4.  \u91d1\u878d\u754c\u8caa\u5a6a\u7684\u9053\u5fb7\u5371\u6a5f\uff1a<\/strong>\u7531\u73fe\u8ca8\uff08\u80a1\u7968\u6216\u50b5\u5238\u4e4b\u5be6\u9ad4\u7d93\u6fdf\uff09\u884d\u751f\u51fa\u4f86\u7684\u8b49\u5238\u5546\u54c1\uff08\u865b\u64ec\u7d93\u6fdf\uff09\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u96d6\u4e0d\u7ba1\u5236\uff0c\u7372\u5229\u537b\u751a\u9ad8\uff0c\u5438\u5f15\u9280\u884c\u53ca\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u76f2\u76ee\u8ddf\u9032\u3002\u800c\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u4ee5\u9ad8\u85aa\u734e\u52f5\u5404\u5927\u4f01\u696d\u57f7\u884c\u9577\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u4f01\u696d\u672a\u7372\u5229\uff0c\u9ad8\u7d1a\u7d93\u7406\u4eba\u90fd\u5750\u9818\u9245\u984d\u5831\u916c\u3002\u65d7\u4e0b\u91d1\u878d\u5f9e\u696d\u54e1\u4e5f\u4eab\u53d7\u9ad8\u5f85\u9047\uff0c\u5438\u5f15\u540d\u6821\u5546\u5b78\u78a9\u58eb\uff08MBA\uff09\u8702\u64c1\u800c\u5165\u3002\u7576\u80a1\u5e02\u50f9\u683c\u4e0a\u63da\uff0c\u91d1\u878d\u5f9e\u696d\u4eba\u54e1\u53ca\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u90fd\u7372\u5229\u3002\u5728\u623f\u5e02\u6ce1\u6cab\u5316\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u7d93\u7d00\u4eba\u548c\u623f\u8cb8\u516c\u53f8\u62fc\u547d\u8cb8\u6b3e\u7d66\u4fe1\u7528\u4e0d\u5920\u683c\u7684\u4eba\u4ee5\u8cfa\u53d6\u9f90\u5927\u4f63\u91d1\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u501f\u6b3e\u4eba\u7121\u6cd5\u511f\u9084\uff0c\u9019\u4e9b\u7372\u5229\u8005\u65e9\u5c31\u812b\u8eab\u9060\u9003\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n


\u8ca8\u5e63\u53ca\u8ca1\u653f\u7576\u5c40\u904e\u53bb\u5e7e\u5e74\u4f86\u4e26\u672a\u4ee5\u7ba1\u7406\u9280\u884c\u7684\u6cd5\u4ee4\u914d\u5957\u63aa\u65bd\u9032\u884c\u56b4\u683c\u7ba1\u7406\uff0c\u4e00\u518d\u5ffd\u8996\u3001\u62d6\u5ef6\u7684\u7d50\u679c\uff0c\u5371\u6a5f\u4e00\u767c\u4e0d\u53ef\u6536\u62fe\u3002\u845b\u6797\u65af\u6f58\u57282008\u5e7410\u670823\u65e5\u5728\u570b\u6703\u4f5c\u8b49\u6642\u5766\u627f\uff0c\u7576\u5e74\u4ed6\u300c\u904e\u5206\u76f8\u4fe1\u81ea\u7531\u5e02\u5834\u300e\u81ea\u884c\u6821\u6b63\u932f\u8aa4\u300f\u7684\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u6c92\u9810\u6599\u5230\u4e0d\u826f\u7684\u62b5\u62bc\u8cb8\u6b3e\u6240\u5e36\u4f86\u81ea\u6211\u6bc0\u6ec5\u7684\u529b\u91cf\u3002\u6211\u5011\u8aa4\u8a8d\u70ba\u91d1\u878d\u754c\u70ba\u4e86\u81ea\u5229\u53ca\u80a1\u6771\u6b0a\u76ca\uff0c\u6703\u6bd4\u6cd5\u898f\u66f4\u8b39\u614e\u7ba1\u7406\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u8cc7\u7522\uff0c\u5c0d\u6b64\u7d50\u679c\u5be6\u5728\u96e3\u4ee5\u7f6e\u4fe1\u300d\u3002\u7531\u6b64\u53ef\u898b\uff0c\u5ffd\u8996\u4eba\u6027\u8caa\u5a6a\u3001\u4e0d\u52a0\u7bc0\u5236\u3001\u7f3a\u4e4f\u76e3\u63a7\u7684\u60e1\u679c\u975e\u5e38\u53ef\u6015\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n


5.  \u5168\u7403\u5316\u904b\u52d5\u589e\u52a0\u98a8\u96aa\uff1a<\/strong>1980\u5e74\u4ee3\u958b\u59cb\uff0c\u570b\u969b\u6a5f\u69cb\u5982\u570b\u969b\u8ca8\u5e63\u57fa\u91d1\uff08IMF\uff09\u9f13\u5439\u8cc7\u672c\u81ea\u7531\u5316\uff0c\u4ee5\u5229\u570b\u969b\u8cbf\u6613\u3002\u4f46\u82e5\u6c92\u6709\u8b39\u614e\u7684\u914d\u5957\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u8cc7\u672c\u81ea\u7531\u79fb\u52d5\u6703\u5e36\u4f86\u707d\u96e3\u6027\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u6a5f\uff1b\u5357\u7f8e\u7684\u667a\u5229\u3001\u963f\u6839\u5ef7\u3001\u58a8\u897f\u54e5\u53ca\u6771\u4e9e\u5404\u570b\u90fd\u66fe\u57281980\u53ca1990\u5e74\u4ee3\u7206\u767c\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u6a5f\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u8cbf\u6613\u7d44\u7e54\uff08WTO\uff09\u8ac7\u5224\u591a\u5e74\u5f8c\u65bc1995\u5e74\u6210\u7acb\uff0c\u4e5f\u5927\u529b\u63a8\u52d5\u8cbf\u6613\u5168\u7403\u5316\u53ca\u81ea\u7531\u5316\uff1b1997\u5e74WTO\u901a\u904e\u300c\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u670d\u52d9\u696d\u81ea\u7531\u5316\u5354\u8b70\u300d\uff0c1999\u5e74\u751f\u6548\uff0c\u76ee\u7684\u5728\u958b\u653e\u5404\u570b\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u5834\uff0c\u8cc7\u91d1\u53ef\u4ee5\u81ea\u7531\u6d41\u52d5\uff0c\u4f46\u98a8\u96aa\u4e5f\u56e0\u800c\u589e\u52a0\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u91d1\u878d\u6d77\u562f\u7684\u8fd1\u56e0<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

1.  \u7db2\u8def\u79d1\u6280\u6ce1\u6cab\u8207\u6230\u722d\uff1a<\/strong>2000\u5e743\u6708\u7f8e\u570b\u7db2\u8def\u79d1\u6280\u80a1\u7968\u6ce1\u6cab\u5d29\u76e4\uff0c\u8a31\u591a\u5728\u7db2\u8def\u79d1\u6280\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u640d\u5931\u6158\u91cd\uff0c\u7dca\u63a5\u84572001\u5e74911\u4e8b\u4ef6\u5c0e\u81f4\u7f8e\u570b\u767c\u52d5\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u53cd\u6050\u6230\u722d\uff0c\u5f8c\u4f86\u53c8\u767c\u52d5\u4f0a\u62c9\u514b\u6230\u722d\uff0c\u5927\u91cf\u8017\u640d\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u529b\u8207\u8cc7\u6e90\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n


2.  \u6b21\u8cb8\u5371\u6a5f\u7684\u5f62\u6210\uff1a<\/strong>\u6b21\u7d1a\u623f\u8cb8\u5371\u6a5f\u662f\u9019\u6b21\u91d1\u878d\u98a8\u66b4\u7684\u5f15\u7206\u9ede\u3002\u76f8\u5c0d\u65bc\u512a\u8cea\u623f\u8cb8\uff0c\u6b21\u8cb8\u662f\u6307\u4e00\u4e9b\u8cb8\u6b3e\u6a5f\u69cb\u5411\u4fe1\u7528\u7a0b\u5ea6\u8f03\u5dee\u548c\u6536\u5165\u4e0d\u9ad8\u7684\u501f\u6b3e\u4eba\uff08\u591a\u70ba\u85cd\u9818\u968e\u7d1a\uff09\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\u8cb8\u6b3e\uff0c\u5176\u5229\u7387\u6bd4\u4e00\u822c\u62b5\u62bc\u8cb8\u6b3e\u9ad8\u4e8c\u81f3\u4e09\u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u52a0\u5927\u9084\u6b3e\u96e3\u5ea6\u3002\u9019\u7a2e\u653e\u9b06\u8cb8\u6b3e\u6a19\u6e96\uff08\u5982\u4e0d\u7528\u4ed8\u982d\u671f\u6b3e\u3001\u4e0d\u7528\u6536\u5165\u8b49\u660e\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u8a55\u5be9\u62b5\u62bc\u55ae\u4f4d\u8cea\u91cf\uff09\u7684\u623f\u5c4b\u62b5\u62bc\u8cb8\u6b3e\u5f88\u5feb\u5f62\u6210\u6b21\u8cb8\u5e02\u5834\u30021994\u5e74\u7f8e\u570b\u62b5\u62bc\u8cb8\u6b3e\u53ea\u67095\uff05\u70ba\u6b21\u8cb8\uff0c2006\u5e74\u4e0a\u5347\u523020\uff05\u3002\u9664\u7f8e\u570b\u5916\uff0c\u82f1\u570b\u548c\u897f\u73ed\u7259\u7b49\u6b50\u6d32\u570b\u5bb6\u4e5f\u6709\u985e\u4f3c\u73fe\u8c61\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n


3.  \u4e8c\u623f\u5f15\u71c3\u5371\u6a5f\uff1a<\/strong>1990\u5e74\u4ee3\u958b\u59cb\uff0c\u67ef\u6797\u9813\u653f\u5e9c\u5411\u4e8c\u623f\u65bd\u58d3\uff0c\u4fc3\u4f7f\u964d\u4f4e\u8cb8\u6b3e\u6a19\u6e96\u7d66\u8f03\u5f31\u52e2\u8cfc\u5c4b\u8005\uff08\u5c11\u6578\u65cf\u88d4\u53ca\u4f4e\u6536\u5165\u8005\uff09\uff0c\u6b21\u8cb8\u6210\u9577\u3002\u570b\u6703\u8b70\u54e1\u53ca\u653f\u5e9c\u5b98\u54e1\u4e5f\u6709\u653e\u6c34\u4e4b\u5acc\uff0c\u4ed6\u5011\u53d7\u8a31\u591a\u5229\u76ca\u5718\u9ad4\u5305\u570d\uff0c\u8d0a\u6210\u9b06\u7d81\uff0c\u537b\u672a\u5584\u76e1\u76e3\u7763\u4e4b\u8cac\u3002
\u4e8c\u623f\u7d93\u71df\u65b9\u5f0f\u96f7\u540c\uff0c\u90fd\u672a\u76f4\u63a5\u63d0\u4f9b\u8cfc\u5c4b\u8005\u62b5\u62bc\u8cb8\u6b3e\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u5411\u9280\u884c\u548c\u623f\u8cb8\u653e\u6b3e\u696d\u8005\u6536\u8cfc\u62b5\u62bc\u8cb8\u6b3e\uff0c\u5c07\u9019\u4e9b\u8cb8\u6b3e\u91cd\u65b0\u5305\u88dd\u70ba\u8b49\u5238\u5316\u7522\u54c1\uff0c\u518d\u7531\u4ed6\u5011\u64d4\u4fdd\u552e\u4e88\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\uff0c\u4ee5\u5229\u878d\u8cc7\uff0c\u537b\u56e0\u6b21\u8cb8\u9055\u7d04\u6848\u4ef6\u8fc5\u901f\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u4e8c\u623f\u640d\u5931\u6158\u91cd\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u8ca1\u653f\u90e8\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u4ecb\u5165\u6436\u6551\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n


4.  \u884d\u751f\u6027\u5546\u54c1\u52a9\u9577\u52a3\u52e2\uff1a<\/strong>\u4e8c\u623f\u8cfc\u8cb7\u5546\u696d\u9280\u884c\u548c\u623f\u8cb8\u516c\u53f8\u6d41\u52d5\u6027\u5dee\u7684\u8cb8\u6b3e\u5f8c\uff0c\u901a\u904e\u8cc7\u7522\u8b49\u5238\u5316\uff0c\u8f49\u63db\u6210\u50b5\u5238\u5728\u5e02\u5834\u4e0a\u767c\u552e\uff0c\u5438\u5f15\u6295\u8cc7\u9280\u884c\u7b49\u91d1\u878d\u6a5f\u69cb\u4f86\u8cb7\uff0c\u800c\u6295\u8cc7\u9280\u884c\u5229\u7528\u91d1\u878d\u5de5\u7a0b\u6280\u8853\uff0c\u5c07\u5176\u5206\u5272\u3001\u5305\u88dd\u3001\u7d44\u5408\uff0c\u518d\u51fa\u552e\u3002\u6700\u521d\u4e00\u5143\u7684\u8cb8\u6b3e\u53ef\u88ab\u653e\u5927\u70baN\u500d\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u884d\u751f\u7522\u54c1\uff0c\u800c\u7576\u6ce1\u6cab\u7834\u6ec5\u6642\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u52a0\u500d\u885d\u64ca\u3002\u4f30\u8a082006\u5e74\u67091000\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u6b21\u7d1a\u623f\u8cb8\u5305\u88dd\u9032\u5165\u7e3d\u984d3750\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u62b5\u62bc\u50b5\u52d9\u50b5\u5238\uff08CDO\uff0cCollateralized debt obligations\uff09\u3002\u52a0\u4e0a\u300c\u69d3\u687f\u300d\u6bd4\u4f8b\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u4fe1\u7528\u9055\u7d04\u4ea4\u63db\u4fdd\u96aa\uff08CDS\uff0ccredit default swap\uff0c2007\u5e74\u9ad8\u5cf0\u671f\u7e3d\u4fdd\u984d\u7adf\u905462\u5146\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u6bd4\u5168\u4e16\u754cGDP\u7e3d\u984d\u8fd160\u5146\u7f8e\u5143\u9084\u591a\uff09\u7834\u6ec5\u7684\u9023\u9396\u64f4\u5927\u6548\u61c9\uff0c\u5e7e\u5bb6\u5927\u6295\u8cc7\u516c\u53f8\u53ca\u4fdd\u96aa\u516c\u53f8\u63aa\u624b\u4e0d\u53ca\uff0c\u5c0e\u81f4\u7834\u7522\u6216\u7531\u570b\u5bb6\u6339\u6ce8\u8cc7\u91d1\u7d13\u56f0\u3002\u4e00\u5411\u56b4\u8b39\u7684\u4fe1\u7528\u8a55\u7b49\u6a5f\u69cb\u5982\u4eca\u6210\u70ba\u91d1\u878d\u98a8\u66b4\u7684\u5e6b\u51f6\uff0c\u4ed6\u5011\u4e0d\u8ca0\u8cac\u4efb\u7684\u8a55\u7b49\u5927\u5927\u8aa4\u5c0e\u5168\u7403\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\uff01<\/p>\n\n\n\n


5.  \u806f\u6e96\u6703\u5347\u606f\u96ea\u4e0a\u52a0\u971c\uff1a<\/strong>2001\u5e74\u70ba\u523a\u6fc0\u7d93\u6fdf\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u9023\u7e8c\u5341\u4e00\u6b21\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u4f7f\u623f\u50f9\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u5347\uff1b\u4e4b\u5f8c\u53c8\u56e0\u6253\u64ca\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u958b\u59cb\u4e00\u9023\u4e32\u5341\u4e03\u6b21\u5347\u606f\uff0c\u4f7f\u623f\u50f9\u5feb\u901f\u7e2e\u6c34\u3002\u7576\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u57282004\u5e74\u958b\u59cb\u5347\u606f\uff0c\u5229\u7387\u5927\u5e45\u6500\u5347\uff0c\u9042\u52a0\u91cd\u4ee5\u300c\u6a5f\u52d5\u5229\u7387\u300d\u70ba\u4e3b\u7684\u6b21\u8cb8\u8cfc\u5c4b\u8005\u7684\u9084\u8cb8\u8ca0\u64d4\uff0c\u518d\u52a0\u4e0a\u6cb9\u50f9\u4e0a\u6f32\u5c0e\u81f4\u666f\u6c23\u6e1b\u7de9\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u4f4f\u623f\u5e02\u5834\u958b\u59cb\u5927\u5e45\u964d\u6eab\u3002\u5931\u696d\u7387\u589e\u9ad8\uff0c\u5f88\u591a\u6b21\u8cb8\u7684\u501f\u6b3e\u4eba\u9996\u7576\u5176\u885d\uff0c\u7279\u5225\u662f\u85cd\u9818\u968e\u7d1a\u88ab\u88c1\u54e1\uff0c\u4ed8\u4e0d\u51fa\u623f\u8cb8\uff0c\u52a0\u4e0a\u8cc7\u7522\u7e2e\u6c34\uff0c\u96e3\u4ee5\u5c07\u623f\u5c4b\u51fa\u552e\u6216\u85c9\u7531\u7b2c\u4e8c\u8cb8\u62b5\u62bc\u7372\u5f97\u878d\u8cc7\uff0c\u9055\u7d04\u9084\u6b3e\u53ca\u623f\u5b50\u8b8a\u6210\u6cd5\u62cd\u5c4b\u7684\u6578\u76ee\u6025\u901f\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u53d7\u6b64\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u623f\u5730\u7522\u8cb8\u6b3e\u6709\u95dc\u50b5\u5238\u7684\u8a55\u4f30\u50f9\u683c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u4e00\u65e6\u62b5\u62bc\u8cc7\u7522\u50f9\u503c\u7e2e\u6c34\uff0c\u5f88\u591a\u91d1\u878d\u516c\u53f8\u8cc7\u7522\u8ca0\u50b5\u8868\u7684\u5e73\u8861\u5c31\u6703\u7522\u751f\u5371\u6a5f\uff0c\u900f\u904e\u9023\u52d5\u50b5\u6ce2\u53ca\u6574\u500b\u93c8\u689d\uff08CDO\u3001CDS\uff09\uff0c\u60c5\u52e2\u66f4\u52a0\u60e1\u5316\uff0c\u800c\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u696d\u8cfc\u8cb7\u9019\u4e9b\u9023\u52d5\u50b5\u8005\uff0c\u81f32007\u5e74\u623f\u5e02\u6b21\u8cb8\u554f\u984c\u7d42\u65bc\u7206\u767c\uff0c\u80a1\u5e02\u5d29\u76e4\uff0c\u5f15\u767c\u91d1\u878d\u6d77\u562f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u91d1\u878d\u98a8\u66b4\u7684\u885d\u64ca\u53ca\u672a\u4f86\u6548\u61c9<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

\u6709\u59821997\u81f31998\u5e74\u7684\u4e9e\u6d32\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u6a5f\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u5316\u4f7f\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u90fd\u7d81\u5728\u4e00\u8d77\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u958b\u59cb\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u6d77\u562f\u9020\u6210\u9aa8\u724c\u6548\u61c9\uff0c\u8fc5\u901f\u8513\u5ef6\u5230\u5176\u4ed6\u570b\u5bb6\u3002\u8207\u7f8e\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u95dc\u4fc2\u6108\u5bc6\u5207\u3001\u91d1\u878d\u6108\u958b\u653e\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u6216\u9ad4\u8cea\u4e0d\u4f73\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u5728\u63aa\u624b\u4e0d\u53ca\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\u7686\u88ab\u6ce2\u53ca\uff1b\u51b0\u5cf6\u7015\u81e8\u7834\u7522\uff0c\u6b50\u6d32\u5404\u570b\u3001\u5357\u97d3\u3001\u70cf\u514b\u862d\u3001\u5308\u7259\u5229\u3001\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u7b49\u570b\u80a1\u5e02\u4e5f\u96a8\u4e4b\u5d29\u76e4\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n


\u5404\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u90fd\u8ddf\u96a8\u7f8e\u82f1\u5169\u570b\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u81ea\u884c\u63d0\u51fa\u672c\u570b\u7d13\u56f0\u6848\uff0c\u4f86\u633d\u6551\u7015\u81e8\u5d29\u6f70\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u5834\u53ca\u53ef\u9810\u898b\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u8870\u9000\u3002\u9019\u7a2e\u5927\u91cf\u8209\u50b5\u7684\u7d13\u56f0\u6848\u76ee\u7684\u5728\u4f7f\u91d1\u878d\u9ad4\u7cfb\u6062\u5fa9\u6b63\u5e38\u904b\u8f49\uff0c\u63d0\u632f\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u4fe1\u5fc3\u30021930\u5e74\u7f8e\u570b\u5927\u856d\u689d\u653f\u5e9c\u8d64\u5b57\u8ca1\u653f\uff0c\u8d77\u6b65\u8f03\u665a\uff0c\u4f46\u56e0\u653f\u7b56\u932f\u8aa4\uff0c\u856d\u689d\u52a0\u6df1\uff0c\u96d6\u7136\u666f\u6c23\u81f3\u7d42\u6062\u5fa9\uff0c\u4f46\u7d42\u7d50\u5927\u856d\u689d\u7684\u529f\u81e3\u537b\u662f\u300c\u7f8e\u570b\u52a0\u5165\u4e8c\u6b21\u5927\u6230\u300d\uff01\u70ba\u514d\u91cd\u8e48\u8986\u8f4d\uff0c\u9019\u6b21\u5404\u570b\u806f\u624b\u7528\u964d\u606f\u7684\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u548c\u8d64\u5b57\u7684\u8ca1\u653f\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4f7f\u5e02\u5834\u8cc7\u91d1\u6d3b\u7d61\uff0c\u5e0c\u671b\u80fd\u4f7f\u8870\u9000\u4e2d\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u76e1\u901f\u5fa9\u7526\u3002\u4ee5\u4e0b\u662f\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u6d77\u562f\u5c0d\u672a\u4f86\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n


1.  \u91d1\u878d\u8cc7\u7522\u7e2e\u6c34\uff1a<\/strong>\u80a1\u5e02\u548c\u50b5\u5e02\u6ce1\u6cab\u5316\u5d29\u76e4\uff0c\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u7684\u8b49\u5238\u8cc7\u7522\u90fd\u5927\u5e45\u7e2e\u6c34\u30022008\u5e74\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u80a1\u7968\u65cf\u640d\u5931\u6700\u6158\u91cd\u7684\u4e00\u5e74\uff1a\u9053\u74ca\u5de5\u696d\u80a1\u7968\uff0830\u80a1\uff09\u3001\u6a19\u6e96\u666e\u723e\u80a1\u7968\uff08500\u80a1\uff09\u6307\u6578\u5206\u5225\u4e0b\u8dcc34%\u548c38\uff05\uff0c\u70ba1931\u5e74\u5f8c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u6700\u56b4\u91cd\u7684\u4e00\u5e74\u3002
\u4f30\u8a08\u80a1\u6c11\u7e3d\u640d\u5931\u7d046.9\u5146\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u76f8\u7576\u65bc\u904e\u53bb\u516d\u5e74\u6240\u8cfa\u7684\u5168\u90fd\u5410\u56de\uff01\u5c07\u9000\u4f11\u91d1\u653e\u5728\u8b49\u5238\u8cc7\u7522\u4e0a\u53c8\u9760\u5176\u5b73\u606f\u751f\u6d3b\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u6536\u5165\u6e1b\u5c11\uff0c\u66f4\u4e0d\u6562\u591a\u6d88\u8cbb\u3002\u623f\u50f9\u4e0b\u6ed1\uff0c\u4e5f\u4f7f\u623f\u4e3b\u8cc7\u7522\u7e2e\u6c34\uff0c\u7279\u5225\u662f\u5728\u623f\u50f9\u4e0a\u6f32\u6642\u52c9\u5f37\u8cfc\u5c4b\u8005\u3002\u9810\u671f\u672a\u4f86\u623f\u50f9\u5c07\u964d\u5230\u8207\u4e00\u822c\u4eba\u6536\u5165\u76f8\u7576\u7684\u5408\u7406\u50f9\u4f4d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n


2.  \u7d93\u6fdf\u8870\u9000\uff0c\u5931\u696d\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\uff1a<\/strong>\u7d93\u6fdf\u6210\u9577\u6709\u8cf4\u4e0b\u5217\u4e09\u5927\u57fa\u672c\u6307\u6a19\uff1a\u570b\u5167\u7e3d\u751f\u7522GDP\uff1d\u6d88\u8cbb\uff0b\u6295\u8cc7\uff0b\u8cbf\u6613\u9806\u5dee\uff08\u5373\u51fa\u53e3\u2500\u9032\u53e3\uff09\u3002\u7531\u65bc\u5de5\u696d\u570b\u5bb6\u6e1b\u5c11\u6d88\u8cbb\uff0c\u5c0e\u81f4\u751f\u7522\u8005\u6e1b\u5c11\u6295\u8cc7\uff0c\u4e5f\u5f71\u97ff\u5c0d\u5916\u8cbf\u6613\u3001\u9032\u53e3\u6e1b\u5c11\uff0c\u9023\u5e36\u5f71\u97ff\u51fa\u53e3\u570b\u5bb6\u4e4b\u51fa\u53e3\u6e1b\u5c11\uff08\u5982\u65e5\u3001\u4e2d\u3001\u81fa\u53ca\u5357\u97d3\uff09\u3002\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u4e0d\u666f\u6c23\uff0c\u5c07\u4f7f\u5404\u570b\u6e1b\u5c11\u9032\u53e3\uff0c\u9020\u6210\u60e1\u6027\u5faa\u74b0\u3002\u9810\u8a08\u7f8e\u570b\u4e0d\u666f\u6c23\u5c07\u6301\u7e8c\u4e00\u5169\u5e74\uff0c\u6700\u58de\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73fe\u65e5\u672c\u5f9e1990\u5e74\u4ee3\u81f3\u4eca\uff0c\u9577\u9054\u5341\u5e74\u7684\u6210\u9577\u505c\u6eef\u3002\u7d93\u6fdf\u8870\u9000\u4f34\u96a8\u5931\u696d\u7387\u63d0\u9ad8\uff0c\u5c07\u5c0e\u81f4\u6d88\u8cbb\u66f4\u70ba\u7dca\u7e2e\u30022008\u5e7411\u6708\u7f8e\u570b\u5931\u696d\u73876.7\uff05\u5df2\u9054\u5341\u56db\u5e74\u65b0\u9ad8\uff0c\u9810\u8a082009\u5e74\u53ef\u80fd\u518d\u6500\u5347\u52307.4\uff05\u3002\u70ba\u523a\u6fc0\u7d93\u6fdf\uff0c\u5404\u570b\u7af6\u76f8\u964d\u4f4e\u5229\u7387\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u572812\u6708\u4e2d\u5df2\u5c07\u57fa\u672c\u5229\u7387\u8abf\u964d\u81f3\u6b77\u53f2\u65b0\u4f4e\u76840-0.25%\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u8207\u81fa\u7063\u7684\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\u4e5f\u9023\u7e8c\u964d\u606f\u5230\u65b0\u4f4e\u9ede\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n


3.  \u8ca1\u653f\u8d64\u5b57\u64f4\u5927\uff0c\u50b5\u7559\u5b50\u5b6b\uff1a<\/strong>\u7f8e\u6b50\u5404\u570b\u62ef\u6551\u91d1\u878d\u7684\u9245\u984d\u652f\u51fa\uff0c\u5c07\u7e2e\u6e1b\u653f\u5e9c\u672a\u4f86\u7684\u652f\u51fa\u80fd\u529b\u3002\u672c\u4f86\u53ef\u652f\u61c9\u5176\u4ed6\u9805\u76ee\u7684\u8ca1\u6e90\uff0c\u73fe\u5728\u8981\u79fb\u4f5c\u5446\u5e33\u6253\u6d88\uff0c\u662f\u7121\u8b02\u7684\u640d\u5931\u3002\u6700\u65b0\u4f30\u8a08\uff0c2009\u5e74\u806f\u90a6\u653f\u5e9c\u8d64\u5b57\u53ef\u80fd\u90542\u5146\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u7d04\u70baGDP\u4e4b14\uff05\uff0c\u52751983\u5e74\u53f2\u4e0a\u6700\u9ad86\uff05\u4e4b\u5169\u500d\u3002\u56e0\u800c\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u53ef\u80fd\u524a\u6e1b\u793e\u6703\u798f\u5229\u3002\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u8209\u50b5\u8981\u7b49\u7d93\u6fdf\u597d\u8f49\u5f8c\u624d\u80fd\u9010\u6f38\u6524\u9084\uff0c\u9020\u6210\u50b5\u7559\u5b50\u5b6b\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n


4.  \u91d1\u878d\u4fe1\u8cb8\u53ef\u80fd\u6e1b\u5c11\uff1a<\/strong>\u96d6\u7136\u5404\u570b\u7af6\u76f8\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u9280\u884c\u53ef\u80fd\u56e0\u70ba\u9700\u6c42\u6e1b\u5c11\u800c\u6e1b\u5c11\u653e\u8cb8\u3002\u964d\u606f\u63aa\u65bd\u4e5f\u4f7f\u4f9d\u9760\u56fa\u5b9a\u5229\u7387\u751f\u6d3b\u7684\u65cf\u7fa4\u751f\u6d3b\u6c34\u6e96\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u56e0\u70ba\u4fe1\u5fc3\u4e0d\u8db3\uff0c\u4f01\u696d\u548c\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u4e5f\u4e0d\u6562\u5927\u5e45\u501f\u6b3e\uff0c\u5728\u9019\u7a2e\u60e1\u6027\u5faa\u74b0\u4e0b\uff0c\u7d93\u6fdf\u53cd\u800c\u66f4\u96e3\u5fa9\u7526\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n


5.  \u8981\u6c42\u91d1\u878d\u6539\u9769\uff1a<\/strong>\u5404\u570b\u666e\u904d\u8981\u6c42\u52a0\u5f37\u91d1\u878d\u6539\u9769\uff0c\u5f37\u5316\u76e3\u7763\u6a5f\u5236\uff0c\u907f\u514d\u9ad8\u968e\u7d93\u7406\u4eba\u5f97\u5230\u9ad8\u5831\u916c\uff0c\u53ca\u9632\u6b62\u884d\u751f\u6027\u5546\u54c1\u904e\u5ea6\u64cd\u4f5c\uff0c\u6210\u70ba\u8ced\u535a\u5f0f\u6295\u8cc7\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u70ba\u4e86\u7d13\u56f0\u800c\u5165\u80a1\u9280\u884c\uff0c2008\u5e74\u5e95\u5df2\u7d93\u6301\u6709209\u5bb6\u9280\u884c\u80a1\u4efd\uff0c\u8207\u904e\u53bb\u4e3b\u5f35\u81ea\u7531\u5e02\u5834\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u7406\u5ff5\u5927\u76f8\u9015\u5ead\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u6709\u52a9\u65bc\u91d1\u878d\u7ba1\u7406\u7684\u6539\u9769\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n


6.\u00a0 \u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u52e2\u4e0b\u6ed1\uff1a<\/strong>\u6700\u8fd1\u6709G20\u570b\u5bb62<\/sup>\u8207\u4e16\u754c\u9280\u884c\u548c\u570b\u969b\u8ca8\u5e63\u57fa\u91d1\u958b\u6703\uff0c\u5171\u5546\u89e3\u6c7a\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u6a5f\u3002G20\u6210\u54e1\u570b\u7e3d\u4eba\u53e3\u4f54\u5168\u7403\u4e09\u5206\u4e4b\u4e8c\uff0c\u570b\u6c11\u751f\u7522\u6bdb\u984d\uff08GNP\uff09\u4f5490\uff05\uff0c\u8cbf\u6613\u7e3d\u984d\u4f5480\uff05\u3002G20\u570b\u5bb6\u8981\u6c42\u589e\u52a0\u7ba1\u5236\u3001\u9075\u5b88\u5171\u540c\u6703\u8a08\u539f\u5247\u3001\u627e\u5c0b\u65b9\u6cd5\u6062\u5fa9\u5c0d\u65b0\u8208\u53ca\u767c\u5c55\u4e2d\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u4fe1\u8cb8\uff0c\u8981\u6c42IMF\u52a0\u5f37\u9810\u8b66\u80fd\u529b\u3001\u76e3\u8996\u5404\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u60c5\u6cc1\u53ca\u63d0\u4f9b\u653f\u7b56\u5efa\u8b70\u3002\u767c\u5c55\u4e2d\u570b\u5bb6\u548c\u767c\u9054\u570b\u5bb6\u5982\u80fd\u651c\u624b\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u8f03\u80fd\u4e00\u8d77\u5ea6\u904e\u570b\u969b\u96e3\u95dc\u3002\u5f9e\u5de5\u696d\u570b\u5bb6\u9080\u8acb\u767c\u5c55\u4e2d\u5927\u570b\u53c3\u8207\u5354\u5546\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u898b\u5230\u767c\u5c55\u4e2d\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u767c\u8a00\u6b0a\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u800c\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u52e2\u958b\u59cb\u4e0b\u6ed1\u7684\u8da8\u52e2\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n


7.  \u885d\u64ca\u81fa\u7063\u53ca\u4e2d\u570b\u5927\u9678\uff1a<\/strong>\u9019\u6b21\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u6d77\u562f\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u5927\u9678\u53ca\u81fa\u7063\u4e5f\u53d7\u5230\u56b4\u91cd\u6ce2\u53ca\u3002\u7f8e\u6b50\u5411\u4e2d\u81fa\u9032\u53e3\u8a02\u55ae\u57282008\u4e0b\u534a\u5e74\u5df2\u6709\u8870\u9000\u73fe\u8c61\uff0c\u76f4\u81f32009\u4e0a\u534a\u5e74\uff0c\u5169\u5cb8\u90fd\u5c07\u9762\u81e8\u7d93\u6fdf\u8870\u9000\u3001\u5931\u696d\u7387\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u5371\u6a5f\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u5df2\u5404\u81ea\u63a1\u53d6\u523a\u6fc0\u7d93\u6fdf\u56de\u6eab\u7684\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u6548\u679c\u5982\u4f55\u9084\u8981\u770b\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u5982\u4f55\u4e00\u8d77\u56e0\u61c9\uff0c\u5171\u5ea6\u5371\u6a5f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u57fa\u7763\u5f92\u7684\u7701\u601d\u8207\u5b89\u5ea6\u4e4b\u9053<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

\u9019\u6b21\u98a8\u66b4\u4f7f\u5927\u591a\u6578\u751f\u6d3b\u72c0\u6cc1\u8f03\u597d\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u7d93\u6b77\u4e86\u8cc7\u7522\uff08\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u623f\u5730\u7522\uff09\u5927\u5e45\u7e2e\u6c34\u7684\u640d\u5931\uff1b\u516c\u53f8\u88c1\u54e1\u98a8\u6f6e\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u9762\u81e8\u5931\u696d\uff1b\u9760\u5229\u606f\u6536\u5165\u904e\u6d3b\u7684\u4eba\u58eb\u5c07\u56e0\u96f6\u5229\u7387\u6642\u4ee3\u7684\u4f86\u81e8\uff0c\u9762\u81e8\u5165\u4e0d\u6577\u51fa\u7684\u7a98\u6cc1\u3002\u57fa\u7763\u5f92\u5982\u4f55\u56e0\u61c9\u91d1\u878d\u98a8\u66b4\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u56f0\u5883\uff1f\u5728\u6b64\u7b46\u8005\u63d0\u51fa\u5408\u4e4e\u8056\u7d93\u7684\u5b89\u5ea6\u4e4b\u9053\u8207\u53c3\u8003\u7d93\u6587\u51fa\u8655\uff0c\u671f\u76fc\u8207\u5927\u5bb6\u4e00\u540c\u7701\u601d\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n


1.  \u78ba\u5b9a\u795e\u7684\u4e3b\u6b0a\uff1a<\/strong>\u795e\u662f\u4e16\u4e0a\u842c\u4e8b\u7684\u638c\u7ba1\u8005\u3002\u795e\u638c\u7ba1\u6211\u5011\u7684\u4e8b\u696d\u3001\u8077\u696d\u3001\u5bb6\u5ead\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u6240\u6709\u8ca1\u7269\u7684\u64c1\u6709\u8005\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u53ea\u662f\u300c\u5c6c\u795e\u8ca1\u7269\u300d\u7684\u4fdd\u7ba1\u8005\u8207\u4f7f\u7528\u8005\u3002\u6211\u5011\u8981\u9ad4\u6703\uff0c\u5f97\u8ca8\u8ca1\uff08\u8cfa\u9322\uff09\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u90fd\u662f\u795e\u6240\u8cdc\u7684\uff08\u53c3\u8003\u7533\u547d\u8a188\uff1a18\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n


2.  \u6301\u5b88\u7ba1\u5bb6\u8eab\u5206\uff1a<\/strong>\u65e2\u7136\u4e8b\u696d\u53ca\u9322\u8ca1\u90fd\u662f\u5c6c\u65bc\u4e3b\u7684\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u662f\u4ee5\u7ba1\u5bb6\u7684\u8eab\u5206\u4f86\u4f7f\u7528\u9322\u8ca1\u3002\u52d9\u8981\u4f5c\u500b\u826f\u5584\u5fe0\u5fc3\u7684\u597d\u50d5\u4eba\uff0c\u5728\u898b\u4e3b\u9762\u6642\u8d0f\u5f97\u4e3b\u7684\u8b9a\u8a31\uff08\u53c3\u8003\u99ac\u592a\u798f\u97f325\uff1a21\uff09\u3002\u80a1\u7968\u7e2e\u6c34\u3001\u623f\u50f9\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u90fd\u662f\u795e\u5141\u8a31\u767c\u751f\u7684\uff0c\u4e0d\u5fc5\u904e\u65bc\u6182\u5fc3\uff0c\u5728\u8271\u56f0\u6642\u671f\u6b63\u662f\u6211\u5011\u5b78\u7fd2\u501a\u9760\u4e3b\u7684\u6642\u5019\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n


3.  \u6aa2\u8996\u512a\u5148\u9806\u5e8f\uff1a<\/strong>\u57fa\u7763\u5f92\u5728\u795e\u88e1\u9762\u7684\u751f\u547d\u6700\u91cd\u8981\uff0c\u900f\u904e\u9019\u6b21\u91d1\u878d\u6d77\u562f\u7684\u885d\u64ca\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u7576\u6aa2\u8996\u81ea\u5df1\u751f\u547d\u7684\u512a\u5148\u6b21\u5e8f\uff0c\u662f\u5426\u51fa\u4e86\u554f\u984c\uff1f\u5148\u6c42\u795e\u7684\u570b\u548c\u7fa9\uff08\u53c3\u8003\u8def\u52a0\u798f\u97f312\uff1a29-31\uff09\uff0c\u7942\u5fc5\u5145\u5145\u8db3\u8db3\u6210\u5c31\u4e00\u5207\uff0c\u8d85\u904e\u6211\u5011\u6240\u6c42\u6240\u60f3\uff08\u53c3\u8003\u4ee5\u5f17\u6240\u66f83\uff1a20\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n


4.  \u96a8\u6642\u591a\u65b9\u79b1\u544a\uff1a<\/strong>\u795e\u5141\u8a31\u91d1\u878d\u98a8\u66b4\u767c\u751f\uff0c\u70ba\u4f7f\u6211\u5011\u7d93\u6b77\u7942\u7684\u4fe1\u5be6\u3002\u6240\u4ee5\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u8981\u70ba\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u56f0\u5883\u3001\u570b\u5bb6\u548c\u793e\u6703\u3001\u5468\u906d\u7684\u4eba\u79b1\u544a\uff0c\u6c42\u795e\u6190\u61ab\u4e26\u727d\u5f15\u6211\u5011\u5b89\u7136\u5ea6\u904e\u9019\u6bb5\u9ed1\u6697\u671f\u3002\u795e\u638c\u7ba1\u4e00\u5207\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u5bb9\u8a31\u707d\u96e3\u767c\u751f\u5728\u656c\u8654\u4eba\u7684\u751f\u547d\u4e2d\uff0c\u53eb\u4ed6\u5011\u6700\u7d42\u5f97\u76ca\u8655\u3002\u53d7\u5230\u91d1\u878d\u98a8\u66b4\u56b4\u91cd\u5f71\u97ff\u7684\u57fa\u7763\u5f92\uff0c\u66f4\u8981\u8b19\u5351\u4f86\u5230\u4e3b\u9762\u524d\uff0c\u5b78\u7fd2\u5728\u56f0\u5883\u4e2d\u501a\u9760\u4e3b\uff08\u53c3\u8003\u7f85\u99ac\u66f88\uff1a28\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n


5.  \u5be9\u614e\u8655\u7406\u9322\u8ca1\uff1a<\/strong>\u6211\u5011\u8655\u7406\u9322\u8ca1\u7684\u614b\u5ea6\uff0c\u5448\u73fe\u51fa\u6211\u5011\u5c6c\u9748\u751f\u6d3b\u7684\u54c1\u8cea\u3002\u6108\u9075\u7167\u8056\u7d93\u539f\u5247\u5be9\u614e\u7406\u8ca1\uff0c\u8207\u4e3b\u7684\u95dc\u4fc2\u6108\u5bc6\u5207\uff08\u53c3\u8003\u8def\u52a0\u798f\u97f316\uff1a11\uff09\uff1b\u9322\u8ca1\u548c\u4e3b\u4e92\u722d\u9996\u4f4d\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u5343\u842c\u4e0d\u53ef\u8caa\u611b\u9322\u8ca1\uff08\u53c3\u8003\u99ac\u592a\u798f\u97f36\uff1a24\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u81f4\u6709\u4e86\u9322\u537b\u5931\u4e86\u5e73\u5b89\u559c\u6a02\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n


6.\u00a0 \u638c\u63e1\u7406\u8ca1\u4e4b\u9053\uff1a<\/strong>\u9322\u8ca1\u6538\u95dc\u6c11\u751f\u9700\u8981\uff0c\u795e\u8981\u6211\u5011\u53d7\u5230\u88dd\u5099\uff0c\u5be6\u884c\u5408\u4e4e\u8056\u7d93\u7684\u7406\u8ca1\u4e4b\u9053\uff08\u53c3\u8003\u63d0\u6469\u592a\u524d\u66f86\uff1a17\uff09\u30023<\/sup>\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u554f\u6211\u5728\u9019\u6642\u8981\u5982\u4f55\u7406\u8ca1\u6216\u6295\u8cc7\uff0c\u6211\u7121\u6cd5\u63d0\u4f9b\u7b54\u6848\u3002\u6839\u64da\u5404\u65b9\u9810\u6e2c\uff0c2009\u81f3\u5c11\u8981\u5230\u4e0b\u534a\u5e74\u5f8c\u666f\u6c23\u624d\u6703\u6709\u597d\u8f49\u7684\u8de1\u8c61\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u4e0d\u5b9c\u4eba\u4e91\u4ea6\u4e91\u3001\u76f2\u76ee\u6295\u8cc7\u3002\u7d93\u6fdf\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0d\u597d\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u66f4\u8981\u7bc0\u7701\u91d1\u9322\u3001\u91cf\u5165\u70ba\u51fa\uff0c\u4ee5\u5ea6\u904e\u300c\u8352\u5e74\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n


7.  \u7a4d\u6975\u5949\u737b\u52a9\u4eba\uff1a<\/strong>\u6211\u5011\u82e5\u627f\u8a8d\u795e\u7684\u6240\u6709\u6b0a\uff0c\u6bcf\u4e00\u7b46\u6709\u95dc\u91d1\u9322\u7684\u6c7a\u5b9a\u90fd\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u5c6c\u9748\u7684\u6c7a\u5b9a\uff01\u6211\u5011\u6709\u9918\u7684\u8981\u5206\u7d66\u4e0d\u8db3\u7684\uff0c\u7279\u5225\u5728\u6b64\u6642\u671f\uff0c\u6559\u6703\u3001\u5ba3\u6559\u6a5f\u69cb\u53ca\u76f8\u95dc\u7684\u57fa\u7763\u6559\u6148\u5584\u4e8b\u696d\u90fd\u6703\u9762\u81e8\u5949\u737b\u4e0d\u8db3\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u3002\u6b63\u597d\u85c9\u9019\u6a5f\u6703\u591a\u591a\u5949\u737b\uff0c\u5e6b\u52a9\u798f\u97f3\u7684\u6a5f\u69cb\u53ca\u5f31\u52e2\u65cf\u7fa4\uff0c\u7a4d\u8ca1\u5bf6\u5728\u5929\u4e0a\uff08\u53c3\u8003\u99ac\u592a\u798f\u97f36\uff1a19-21\uff09\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5982\u6709\u9918\u529b\uff0c\u4e0d\u59a8\u5230\u57fa\u7763\u5f92\u958b\u7684\u5546\u5e97\u6d88\u8cbb\u3001\u5e36\u5bb6\u4eba\u51fa\u53bb\u8d70\u8d70\uff0c\u8207\u5bb6\u4eba\u6709\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u4e92\u52d5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n


8.  \u77e5\u8db3\u907f\u514d\u6b20\u50b5\uff1a<\/strong>\u8056\u7d93\u5c07\u6b20\u50b5\u8005\u8996\u70ba\u5974\u96b8\uff08\u53c3\u8003\u7bb4\u8a0022\uff1a7\uff09\u3002\u4f9d\u4e00\u822c\u60c5\u6cc1\uff0c\u6703\u5347\u503c\uff08\u8cc7\u7522\u50f9\u503c\u8d85\u904e\u8cb8\u6b3e\uff09\u7684\u8cc7\u7522\u5982\u623f\u5b50\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u8003\u616e\u8209\u50b5\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u6a5f\u4e0b\uff0c\u623f\u50f9\u6301\u7e8c\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u5982\u8981\u812b\u624b\u4e5f\u9ebb\u7169\uff0c\u6700\u597d\u80fd\u76e1\u5feb\u4ed8\u6e05\uff0c\u904e\u7121\u50b5\u4e00\u8eab\u8f15\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\u3002\u6211\u5011\u4e5f\u7576\u66f4\u52a0\u5b78\u7fd2\u77e5\u8db3\u5e38\u6a02\uff0c\u4e0d\u8981\u70ba\u4e86\u8caa\u5716\u4eab\u53d7\u800c\u8209\u50b5\uff08\u53c3\u8003\u8153\u5229\u6bd4\u66f84\uff1a11-13\uff09\u3002\u5b88\u7d20\u5b89\u5e38\uff0c\u5b78\u7fd2\u904e\u5109\u6a38\u3001\u6e05\u5fc3\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\uff0c\u9810\u5099\u4e3b\u7684\u518d\u4f86\u3002\u5230\u5e95\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u7684\u751f\u547d\u61c9\u7576\u5c08\u6ce8\u5728\u6c38\u751f\u4e0a\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u9019\u4e16\u4e0a\u7121\u5b9a\u7684\u9322\u8ca1\uff08\u53c3\u8003\u99ac\u53ef\u798f\u97f38\uff1a36\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6ce8<\/strong>
1.  Charles Kindleberger\uff081910-2003\uff09\uff0cOf Manias, Panics and Crashes\uff0c1978\u7b2c\u4e00\u7248\uff0c2005\u7b2c\u4e94\u7248\u3002\u4e2d\u8b6f\u672c\u300a\u72c2\u71b1\u3001\u6050\u614c\u548c\u5d29\u6f70\uff1a\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u6a5f\u53f2\u300b\u5728\u4e2d\u570b\u51fa\u7248\u3002
2.  G20\u6307\u7f8e\u3001\u65e5\u3001\u5fb7\u3001\u82f1\u3001\u6cd5\u3001\u7fa9\u3001\u52a0\uff08\u5148\u9032\u5de5\u696d\u5927\u570b\uff0c\u901a\u7a31\u70baG7\uff09\uff0b\u91d1\u78da\u56db\u570b\uff08\u4fc4G8\uff0b\u4e2dG9\uff0b\u5370\u5ea6\uff0b\u5df4\u897f\uff09\uff0b\u963f\u6839\u5ef7\u3001\u6fb3\u6d32\u3001\u5370\u5c3c\u3001\u58a8\u897f\u54e5\u3001\u6c99\u70cf\u5730\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u3001\u5357\u975e\u3001\u5357\u97d3\u3001\u571f\u8033\u5176\uff0b\u6b50\u6d32\u806f\u76df\u3002
3.  \u53ef\u53c3\u8003\u7f8e\u570b\u51a0\u5195\u8ca1\u52d9\u4e8b\u5de5\u300c\u8056\u7d93\u7406\u8ca1\u4e4b\u9053\u300d\u7684\u6559\u6750\uff08\u7f8e\u570b\u7e3d\u90e8\u7db2\u7ad9www.crown.org\u6216\u81fa\u7063\u51a0\u5195\u771f\u9053\u7406\u8ca1\u5354\u6703\u7db2\u7ad9www.crown.org.tw\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n

\u4f5c\u8005\u5c0f\u6863\u6848<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6eab\u82f1\u5e79\uff0c\u81fa\u7063\u82b1\u84ee\u570b\u7acb\u6771\u83ef\u5927\u5b78\u69ae\u8b7d\u6559\u6388\u53ca\u806f\u5408\u570b\u6240\u5c6c\u4e16\u754c\u9280\u884c\u9000\u4f11\u8cc7\u6df1\u7d93\u6fdf\u5c08\u5bb6\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n